Miami Grand Prix 2025 F1 preview, odds & predictions

The grid is set for the 2025 Miami GP. See updated F1 odds, qualifying results, and our best race predictions ahead of lights out in Florida.

Formula 1 heads to Florida for round five of the 2025 season, and the grid is locked in for the Miami Grand Prix with Max Verstappen on pole, Lando Norris starting P2, and rookie Kimi Antonelli pulling off a stunning P3 result in his best weekend to date.

The race begins at 4:00pm EST on Sunday, May 4 with rain forecast and strategy likely to play a huge role at the Miami International Autodrome.


Verstappen Leads, But Sprint-Winning Norris Lurks

Max Verstappen was back to his blistering best on Saturday night, laying down a dominant Q3 lap to claim pole. But the Dutchman will have Lando Norris right on his tail — and full of confidence after winning the Sprint earlier in the weekend at $3.00 with Stake.com.

With rain threatening, the track could produce chaos — much like the Sprint, where Norris capitalized on a well-timed safety car to claim his first short-format victory of the season.

Kimi Antonelli was the standout story from qualifying. The 18-year-old Mercedes rookie outpaced both Ferraris and teammate George Russell to line up P3. He was unlucky in the Sprint — finishing P7 after getting caught out by changing conditions — but looks poised to challenge for a maiden podium in the main event.


2025 Miami Grand Prix Odds

McLaren and Red Bull share favoritism going into Sunday’s race, with Oscar Piastri still a looming threat from P4.

  • Lando Norris (McLaren) – +160
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull) – +160
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren) – +300
  • Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) – +1100
  • George Russell (Mercedes) – +1600
  • Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) – +6600
  • Alex Albon (Williams) – +10000
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams) – +10000
  • Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari) – +10000
  • Yuki Tsunoda (Red Bull) – +50000

More odds available at Stake.com


Miami GP 2025 Betting Predictions

Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) to win

+1100 @
Stake.com

Lando Norris (McLaren) to win

+160 @
Stake.com

Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) podium finish

+1200 @
Stake.com

Miami Grand Prix Starting Grid

Pos No Driver Team Time
1 1 Max Verstappen Red Bull 1:26.204
2 4 Lando Norris McLaren 1:26.269
3 12 Kimi Antonelli Mercedes 1:26.271
4 81 Oscar Piastri McLaren 1:26.375
5 63 George Russell Mercedes 1:26.385
6 55 Carlos Sainz Williams 1:26.569
7 23 Alex Albon Williams 1:26.682
8 16 Charles Leclerc Ferrari 1:26.754
9 31 Esteban Ocon Haas 1:26.824
10 22 Yuki Tsunoda Red Bull 1:26.943
11 6 Isack Hadjar Racing Bulls 1:26.987
12 44 Lewis Hamilton Ferrari 1:27.006
13 5 Gabriel Bortoleto Kick Sauber 1:27.151
14 7 Jack Doohan Alpine 1:27.186
15 30 Liam Lawson Racing Bulls 1:27.363
16 27 Nico Hulkenberg Kick Sauber 1:27.473
17 14 Fernando Alonso Aston Martin 1:27.604
18 10 Pierre Gasly Alpine 1:27.710
19 18 Lance Stroll Aston Martin 1:27.830
20 87 Oliver Bearman Haas 1:27.999